10-K Summary · FY2026

CME GROUP INC. — Annual Report FY2026

CME · view company
Verdict: Strong Buy

Quality Scores

Multi-Bagger
91/100
Compounder Quality
96/100
Management Credibility
92/100
Governance
95/100
Cash Flow Quality
98/100

AI Summary

CME Group stands as the world's leading derivatives marketplace, demonstrating a remarkable structural transformation from a floor-based exchange to a diversified global financial infrastructure powerhouse. The 10-year data reflects a significant scaling of operations, notably highlighted by the integration of Nex Group and expansion in interest rate and energy trading. Revenue has expanded from approximately $912 million in 2016 to over $6.5 billion in 2025 (extrapolated), representing a CAGR of nearly 22%. Net margins consistently hover above 50%, a testament to the immense operating…

Key Changes

The last decade has seen CME evolve from a predominantly US-centric futures exchange into a global financial infrastructure powerhouse. Key milestones include the integration of NEX Group and the strategic 10-year partnership with Google Cloud to migrate their entire infrastructure. This shift toward 'Data and Information Services' has reduced the company's reliance on transaction-heavy volume cycles. The expansion into OTC clearing for credit and interest rate swaps has captured significant institutional flow. Geographically, CME has expanded its presence in EMEA and APAC, catering to 24-hour global trading demand. The business is clearly moving up the value chain by leveraging proprietary data as a recurring revenue stream.

Management Commentary

Management has demonstrated exceptional vision in transitioning the exchange from traditional open outcry to a digitized, global multi-asset class ecosystem. They have successfully navigated varying interest rate environments, which are primary drivers of volume in their signature Treasury products. Communications in MD&A are characterized by transparency regarding volume trends, volatility impact, and regulatory headwinds. The leadership's focus on technological resilience is evident in the partnership with Google Cloud to migrate their data and clearing systems. The strategic focus remains on international expansion, with a growing percentage of revenue coming from non-U.S. sources. Management's conservative approach to debt and aggressive approach to returning capital aligns perfectly…

Financial Highlights

CME's financial performance displays classic characteristic of a high-quality compounder, with operating income growing from $540 million to $4.23 billion over the decade. The margin profile is exceptionally stable and improving, with operating margins frequently exceeding 60%, ranking it in the top decile of global businesses. Net income growth has been lumpy due to non-recurring items (notably in 2017/2021), but the underlying earnings power has trended upward with an EPS CAGR exceeding 25% over the last five years. Total assets have fluctuated significantly due to the nature of clearinghouse cash and collateral requirements, peaking near $198 billion. Despite this, equity has grown steadily, supporting a high ROE environment. The firm’s ability to convert incremental revenue into pure…

Major Opportunities

  • Natural monopoly/oligopoly Moat
  • Exceptional operating margins exceeding 60%
  • CFO consistently higher than Net Income

Major Risks

  • Significant regulatory oversight risk
  • Sensitivity to trading volume fluctuations
  • Dependency on interest rate environments

Unlock the full report

Full 20+ sections, charts, AI chat with the report, and PDF export are available with Premium.