Healthcare · NYSE/NASDAQ: HUM

HUMANA INC

Healthcare Plans
Market Cap $45.65B
Verdict: Average

Quality Scores

Multi-Bagger
42/100
Compounder Quality
60/100
Management Credibility
55/100
Governance
82/100
Cash Flow Quality
52/100

AI Summary

Humana Inc. has evolved from a concentrated healthcare provider into a massive integrated care entity, with revenues scaling from approx $13B in 2016 to nearly $130B by 2025. Despite this 10x top-line expansion, the bottom-line performance has significantly decoupled from revenue growth in recent years, specifically since 2020. The company faces a difficult environment characterized by rising medical loss ratios (MLR) and regulatory pressure on Medicare Advantage. While assets have nearly doubled over the decade, net income in 2024-2025 has compressed back to levels seen years prior when the…

Top Opportunities

  • Consistent double-digit revenue growth
  • Dominant position in Medicare Advantage market
  • Diversified services via CenterWell segment

Top Risks

  • Severe operating margin compression
  • Recent collapse in net income consistency
  • Critical regulatory risk from Medicare Star Rating changes

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